Arctic front still on track for Thursday
NWS warns minor shifts could bring major changes in precipitation
From Staff Reports

Nov. 28, 2006 - An arctic front is still expected to bring wintry weather to Hopkins County early Thursday, but the National Weather Service is also warning that even minor shifts in the approaching system could make travel conditions even more treacherous than first thought.

Forecasters in the weather service's Fort Worth office still expect the cold front to move through North Texas Wednesday night into Thursday, with temperatures dropping 25 to 35 degrees. And some light freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet, is still expected to accompany the cold front.

"As of now, the wintry precipitation appears that it will be fairly light, so little to no ice accumulation is expected," forecasters wrote in a special weather statement issued today, but also cautioned it won't take much to change that prediction.

"It must be stressed that minor changes in the track and timing of the strong upper level disturbance could have significant impacts on precipitation amounts and locations of wintry precipitation," the statement continued. "Residents of North Texas should closely monitor this developing weather situation."

As of this morning, the weather statement added, it appears the wintry precipitation will be fairly light, so little to no ice accumulation is expected, with the best chance of icing closer to the Red River.

Still, with a 60 percent chance of precipitation Thursday and a 20 percent chance of snow, freezing rain or sleet before midnight, there's the possibility that the projected overnight low of 23 could make streets and bridges somewhat slippery Friday morning. Daytime highs on Friday and beyond, however, are forecast in the upper 40s and lower 50s, so any frost on the streets should be short-lived.

Daytime temperatures on Thursday are expected to hold steady in the 30s, but strong north-northwest winds of 20 to 25 miles per hour with gusts up to 30 mph will result in wind chill temperatures in the upper teens.

The bottom line: Dress warm before heading out on Thursday morning, and drive carefully.

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